Demographics · Housing demand

Population growth forecast to 2050

Name: Projected population change by country to 2050
Creator: WhiteIndex

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According to the UN projection, the world population will grow from 8.23 billion in 2025 to 9.66 billion in 2050, an increase of 17.4%. Almost two thirds of the growth will come from Africa: the populations of DR Congo, the CAR and Angola will nearly double. In Eastern Europe and East Asia populations will shrink: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Moldova and Lithuania will lose more than 20% of their residents, Japan 14.6%, South Korea 12.6%, China 11.0% and Thailand 7.3%. Among countries and territories with at least 100,000 inhabitants, the steepest decline, 22.6%, is projected for Puerto Rico (US territory). For the housing market, a growing population is a long-term source of demand, while a shrinking one carries the risk of a housing surplus.

World by 2050+17.4%8.23 → 9.66 billion

Fastest growing+93.4%DR Congoexcluding countries and territories with fewer than 100,000 inhabitants

Fastest shrinking−22.6%Puerto Rico (US territory)excluding countries and territories with fewer than 100,000 inhabitants

China−11.0%1.42 → 1.26 billion

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Data by country

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Filter by nameShowing 226 of 226

					Source
1	DR Congo	+93.4%	218.2 m	8	UN
2	Central African Republic	+92.6%	10.6 m	8	UN
3	Angola	+90.3%	74.3 m	8	UN
4	Somalia	+89.3%	37.2 m	8	UN
5	Niger	+88.1%	52.5 m	8	UN
6	Chad	+85.0%	38.9 m	8	UN
7	Tanzania	+83.7%	129.6 m	8	UN
8	Mali	+83.2%	46.2 m	8	UN
9	Mozambique	+78.3%	63.5 m	8	UN
10	Mauritania	+77.2%	9.4 m	8	UN
11	Afghanistan	+75.4%	76.9 m	8	UN
12	Zambia	+73.8%	38.1 m	7	UN
13	Cameroon	+71.0%	51.1 m	7	UN
14	Côte d’Ivoire	+70.4%	55.7 m	7	UN
15	Yemen	+69.9%	71.0 m	7	UN
16	Republic of the Congo	+69.7%	11.0 m	7	UN
17	Malawi	+68.2%	37.4 m	7	UN
18	Burundi	+67.7%	24.1 m	7	UN
19	Uganda	+66.3%	85.4 m	7	UN
20	Ethiopia	+66.1%	225.0 m	7	UN
21	Benin	+64.9%	24.4 m	7	UN
22	Sudan	+64.9%	85.2 m	7	UN
23	Togo	+62.5%	14.0 m	7	UN
24	Madagascar	+62.4%	53.2 m	7	UN
25	Equatorial Guinea	+62.2%	3.1 m	7	UN
26	Senegal	+60.4%	30.4 m	7	UN
27	Vanuatu	+59.4%	534 thousand	7	UN
28	Eritrea	+57.9%	5.7 m	7	UN
29	Gabon	+57.5%	4.1 m	7	UN
30	Solomon Islands	+56.0%	1.3 m	7	UN
31	Rwanda	+55.9%	22.7 m	7	UN
32	Liberia	+55.5%	8.9 m	7	UN
33	Guinea	+55.0%	23.4 m	7	UN
34	Burkina Faso	+54.9%	37.3 m	7	UN
35	Iraq	+53.0%	71.9 m	7	UN
36	Guinea-Bissau	+52.8%	3.4 m	7	UN
37	Zimbabwe	+52.6%	25.9 m	7	UN
38	Gambia	+52.4%	4.3 m	7	UN
39	São Tomé & Príncipe	+52.1%	365 thousand	7	UN
40	Nigeria	+51.2%	359.2 m	7	UN
41	Palestine	+51.2%	8.5 m	7	UN
42	South Sudan	+50.5%	18.3 m	7	UN
43	Comoros	+48.1%	1.3 m	6	UN
44	Syria	+47.5%	37.8 m	6	UN
45	Sierra Leone	+46.8%	12.9 m	6	UN
46	Namibia	+45.9%	4.5 m	6	UN
47	Pakistan	+45.7%	371.9 m	6	UN
48	Kenya	+45.3%	83.6 m	6	UN
49	Tajikistan	+44.4%	15.6 m	6	UN
50	Ghana	+44.2%	50.6 m	6	UN
51	Oman	+42.4%	7.8 m	6	UN
52	Jordan	+42.1%	16.4 m	6	UN
53	Uzbekistan	+40.9%	52.2 m	6	UN
54	Papua New Guinea	+38.5%	14.9 m	6	UN
55	Saudi Arabia	+38.0%	47.7 m	6	UN
56	Israel	+37.6%	13.1 m	6	UN
57	Cayman Islands	+36.8%	104 thousand	6	UN
58	Egypt	+36.6%	161.6 m	6	UN
59	UAE	+35.4%	15.4 m	6	UN
60	Honduras	+34.9%	14.8 m	6	UN
61	Botswana	+34.2%	3.4 m	6	UN
62	Qatar	+33.6%	4.2 m	6	UN
63	Kiribati	+33.6%	183 thousand	6	UN
64	Nauru	+33.3%	16 thousand	6	UN
65	Timor-Leste	+33.1%	1.9 m	6	UN
66	Kyrgyzstan	+32.2%	9.6 m	6	UN
67	Guatemala	+32.0%	24.7 m	6	UN
68	Bahrain	+30.2%	2.1 m	6	UN
69	Djibouti	+29.3%	1.5 m	6	UN
70	Western Sahara	+29.3%	777 thousand	6	UN
71	Bolivia	+28.0%	16.1 m	6	UN
72	Mongolia	+28.0%	4.5 m	6	UN
73	Kazakhstan	+27.3%	26.5 m	6	UN
74	Kuwait	+26.7%	6.4 m	6	UN
75	Lesotho	+26.7%	3.0 m	6	UN
76	Turkmenistan	+26.5%	9.6 m	6	UN
77	Algeria	+25.6%	59.6 m	6	UN
78	Nicaragua	+24.9%	8.8 m	5	UN
79	Samoa	+24.7%	273 thousand	5	UN
80	Libya	+24.2%	9.3 m	5	UN
81	Laos	+23.9%	9.8 m	5	UN
82	Haiti	+23.6%	14.7 m	5	UN
83	Panama	+23.2%	5.6 m	5	UN
84	Paraguay	+23.2%	8.6 m	5	UN
85	Malaysia	+23.1%	44.3 m	5	UN
86	Cambodia	+22.9%	21.9 m	5	UN
87	South Africa	+22.3%	79.2 m	5	UN
88	Bangladesh	+22.2%	214.7 m	5	UN
89	Belize	+22.2%	517 thousand	5	UN
90	Australia	+20.5%	32.5 m	5	UN
91	Eswatini	+19.8%	1.5 m	5	UN
92	Lebanon	+19.7%	7.0 m	5	UN
93	St. Barthélemy	+18.2%	13 thousand	5	UN
94	Peru	+17.4%	40.6 m	5	UN
95	Nepal	+17.0%	34.6 m	5	UN
96	Ecuador	+16.7%	21.3 m	5	UN
97	Luxembourg	+16.3%	791 thousand	5	UN
98	Sint Maarten	+15.9%	51 thousand	5	UN
99	New Caledonia	+15.6%	341 thousand	5	UN
100	Philippines	+15.1%	134.4 m	5	UN
101	India	+14.7%	1.68 bn	5	UN
102	Suriname	+14.7%	734 thousand	5	UN
103	Canada	+13.7%	45.6 m	5	UN
104	Guam	+13.0%	191 thousand	5	UN
105	Morocco	+13.0%	43.4 m	5	UN
106	Mexico	+12.9%	148.9 m	5	UN
107	Dominican Republic	+12.8%	13.0 m	5	UN
108	Guyana	+12.6%	941 thousand	5	UN
109	Ireland	+12.5%	6.0 m	5	UN
110	Faroe Islands	+12.5%	63 thousand	5	UN
111	Indonesia	+12.2%	320.7 m	5	UN
112	Brunei	+11.6%	520 thousand	5	UN
113	Maldives	+11.3%	590 thousand	5	UN
114	Colombia	+11.2%	59.4 m	5	UN
115	Bhutan	+10.7%	882 thousand	5	UN
116	Micronesia	+10.5%	126 thousand	5	UN
117	Iran	+10.2%	101.9 m	5	UN
118	Cyprus	+10.0%	1.5 m	5	UN
119	United States	+9.7%	380.8 m	4	UN
120	New Zealand	+9.6%	5.8 m	4	UN
121	Venezuela	+9.0%	31.1 m	4	UN
122	Iceland	+8.8%	433 thousand	4	UN
123	United Kingdom	+8.6%	75.5 m	4	UN
124	Turks & Caicos Islands	+8.5%	51 thousand	4	UN
125	Vietnam	+8.3%	110.0 m	4	UN
126	Azerbaijan	+8.0%	11.2 m	4	UN
127	Liechtenstein	+7.5%	43 thousand	4	UN
128	Cape Verde	+7.4%	566 thousand	4	UN
129	Fiji	+7.2%	1.0 m	4	UN
130	Myanmar	+6.9%	58.6 m	4	UN
131	Seychelles	+6.8%	142 thousand	4	UN
132	Sri Lanka	+6.8%	24.8 m	4	UN
133	Tunisia	+6.4%	13.1 m	4	UN
134	Sweden	+6.1%	11.3 m	4	UN
135	Argentina	+5.4%	48.3 m	4	UN
136	Bahamas	+5.2%	424 thousand	4	UN
137	Norway	+4.9%	5.9 m	4	UN
138	El Salvador	+4.7%	6.7 m	4	UN
139	Switzerland	+4.2%	9.3 m	4	UN
140	Turkey	+4.1%	91.3 m	4	UN
141	Costa Rica	+3.9%	5.4 m	4	UN
142	Singapore	+3.6%	6.1 m	4	UN
143	Netherlands	+3.3%	19.0 m	4	UN
144	France	+2.4%	68.2 m	4	UN
145	Chile	+2.3%	20.3 m	4	UN
146	Brazil	+2.2%	217.5 m	4	UN
147	Denmark	+2.0%	6.1 m	4	UN
148	Antigua & Barbuda	+1.1%	95 thousand	4	UN
149	French Polynesia	+1.1%	285 thousand	4	UN
150	Belgium	+1.0%	11.9 m	4	UN
151	Jersey	+1.0%	105 thousand	4	UN
152	Tonga	+1.0%	105 thousand	4	UN
153	Anguilla	0.0%	15 thousand	4	UN
154	British Virgin Islands	0.0%	40 thousand	4	UN
155	Montserrat	0.0%	4 thousand	4	UN
156	Niue	0.0%	2 thousand	4	UN
157	San Marino	0.0%	34 thousand	4	UN
158	Falkland Islands	0.0%	3 thousand	4	UN
159	Andorra	−1.2%	82 thousand	3	UN
160	Guernsey	−1.6%	63 thousand	3	UN
161	Malta	−1.7%	536 thousand	3	UN
162	Northern Mariana Islands	−2.3%	43 thousand	3	UN
163	Monaco	−2.6%	37 thousand	3	UN
164	North Korea	−3.0%	25.8 m	3	UN
165	Grenada	−3.4%	113 thousand	3	UN
166	Georgia	−3.8%	3.7 m	3	UN
167	Uruguay	−3.9%	3.3 m	3	UN
168	Austria	−4.3%	8.7 m	3	UN
169	St. Lucia	−4.4%	172 thousand	3	UN
170	Dominica	−4.5%	63 thousand	3	UN
171	Finland	−4.8%	5.4 m	3	UN
172	Russian Federation	−5.5%	136.1 m	2	UN
173	Curaçao	−5.9%	174 thousand	2	UN
174	Spain	−6.2%	44.9 m	2	UN
175	Portugal	−6.2%	9.8 m	2	UN
176	St. Kitts & Nevis	−6.4%	44 thousand	2	UN
177	Slovenia	−6.4%	2.0 m	2	UN
178	Barbados	−6.7%	264 thousand	2	UN
179	Germany	−6.9%	78.3 m	2	UN
180	Isle of Man	−7.1%	78 thousand	2	UN
181	Macao	−7.3%	669 thousand	2	UN
182	Thailand	−7.3%	66.4 m	2	UN
183	Trinidad & Tobago	−7.3%	1.4 m	2	UN
184	Aruba	−7.4%	100 thousand	2	UN
185	Czechia	−7.4%	9.8 m	2	UN
186	Wallis & Futuna	−9.1%	10 thousand	2	UN
187	Hungary	−9.4%	8.7 m	2	UN
188	Slovakia	−9.8%	4.9 m	2	UN
189	Greenland	−10.7%	50 thousand	2	UN
190	China	−11.0%	1.26 bn	2	UN
191	St. Vincent & Grenadines	−11.0%	89 thousand	2	UN
192	Palau	−11.1%	16 thousand	2	UN
193	Greece	−11.3%	8.8 m	2	UN
194	Bermuda	−12.3%	57 thousand	2	UN
195	Italy	−12.3%	51.9 m	2	UN
196	South Korea	−12.6%	45.1 m	2	UN
197	Estonia	−12.6%	1.2 m	2	UN
198	Mauritius	−12.7%	1.1 m	2	UN
199	Jamaica	−13.5%	2.5 m	2	UN
200	Poland	−14.0%	32.8 m	2	UN
201	Cuba	−14.2%	9.4 m	2	UN
202	Japan	−14.6%	105.1 m	2	UN
203	Romania	−15.2%	16.0 m	1	UN
204	Armenia	−15.5%	2.5 m	1	UN
205	U.S. Virgin Islands	−15.5%	71 thousand	1	UN
206	Montenegro	−15.8%	533 thousand	1	UN
207	Taiwan	−15.9%	19.4 m	1	UN
208	Croatia	−16.0%	3.2 m	1	UN
209	North Macedonia	−16.6%	1.5 m	1	UN
210	Belarus	−17.2%	7.5 m	1	UN
211	Serbia	−17.3%	5.5 m	1	UN
212	American Samoa	−17.4%	38 thousand	1	UN
213	Hong Kong	−17.6%	6.1 m	1	UN
214	Ukraine	−17.9%	32.0 m	1	UN
215	Latvia	−18.3%	1.5 m	1	UN
216	Albania	−19.2%	2.2 m	1	UN
217	Bulgaria	−19.6%	5.4 m	1	UN
218	St. Helena	−20.0%	4 thousand	1	UN
219	Lithuania	−20.2%	2.3 m	1	UN
220	Moldova	−21.5%	2.4 m	1	UN
221	Bosnia & Herzegovina	−21.8%	2.5 m	1	UN
222	Puerto Rico	−22.6%	2.5 m	1	UN
223	St. Martin	−24.0%	19 thousand	1	UN
224	Marshall Islands	−30.6%	25 thousand	1	UN
225	Cook Islands	−30.8%	9 thousand	1	UN
226	St. Pierre & Miquelon	−33.3%	4 thousand	1	UN

About the data

Indicator. Change in population from 2025 to 2050, in percent. It reflects both natural increase (births minus deaths) and the migration the UN builds into its projection.

Period and source. UN, World Population Prospects 2024, medium-variant population projections for 2025 and 2050.

Calculation. Population in 2050 divided by population in 2025, minus one. WhiteIndex calculation based on UN data.

Scale. Eight classes. Red is a decline of more than 15%; orange shades are declines of 15% to 5% and 5% to 0%; green shades are growth of 0% to 10%, 10% to 25%, 25% to 50%, 50% to 75% and more than 75%. The more saturated the color, the greater the change.

Gaps. Territories for which the UN publishes no separate estimate are shown in gray: Kosovo, Northern Cyprus, Somaliland and a number of small territories. Vatican City is not shown: its population is under one thousand.

Caveats. The projection to 2050 rests on assumptions about fertility, mortality and migration and will be revised in new UN editions. For small countries and territories the projection is less reliable.

Sources and data dates

UN, World Population Prospects 2024 (published in July 2024): population, medium-variant projection. Data retrieved via Our World in Data on 19 October 2026.

How to cite

WhiteIndex. Population growth forecast to 2050: map and data by country. Data: UN, World Population Prospects 2024.

WhiteIndex reference page. Data are updated with each new edition of World Population Prospects.

Translated from the Russian original

Population growth forecast to 2050

Ranking

Sources

World map

Data by country

About the data

Sources and data dates